Three most essential forecasts for mobility and good cities in 2021
1. Consolidation of the micromobility market in Europe
Given the speed and timing of COVID, the European micromobility market has changed rapidly. According to recent news and press releases, many of the largest late-stage operators have been actively raising funds to bolster their consumer offerings, expand their fleets, and expand their geographic coverage areas.
Tier, Voi and Bolt were the standout micromobiity operators who not only weathered the COVID-19 financial storm, but also attracted massive equity investments, scaled their businesses, and ceased aggressively across all lines of business. Lime is the only US operator in Europe that has been able to maintain its offering in Europe, despite the fact that Uber has invested and 66% of its growth came outside of its home market in the US.
This has brought the small to medium-sized micro-mobility operators into a kind of money crisis due to:
- insufficient awareness of consumer brands;
- lack of geographic coverage and
- It simply lacks the scale needed to be successful in European cities, which offer a pas- sive and multimodal environment.
Therefore, we will see more mergers and acquisitions of these operators and / or their sale in the European market in the coming months.
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2. Robotaxis and autonomous deliveries
With the recent takeover of Moovit by Intel, the partnerships announced by Lyft, Amazon’s Zoox driverless shuttle and high activity already in China, we will see continuous growth in 2021. In recent years, the autonomous vehicle market went through a cycle of hype and peaked in early 2018. Since then, many OEMs, suppliers, startups and investors have scratched their heads wondering what will happen next.
With the advent of COVID-19, social distancing and public health measures, new use cases and opportunities quickly opened up during 2020. The market for shared and commercial autonomous vehicles has now dwarfed that for personal autonomous vehicles, making it the fulcrum towards robotaxis and driverless trucks. This will continue into the coming year with a rapid acceleration in investments, pilot projects and commercial partnerships. In addition, the market for outdoor meals and home food deliveries has exploded as ordering, quarantines, and curfews are rampant.
Hence, we will see interesting value propositions from AI and mobility technology startups related to continuing through 2021 supported by people and autonomous deliveries of parcels, parcels and even groceries to households and businesses.
3. 15 minutes cities and active transportation
After all, the main trend and forecast for the coming year 2021 is the widespread adoption of the policy regarding 15-minute cities by governments. “What originally started in Paris, along with a COVID-related expansion of the city’s cycling network to maintain social distance and public health, has taken the world by storm.
Almost every major city now has an open road, a pop-up bike path, widened pedestrian walkways or outdoor restaurants, and a massive increase in cycling and walking. While these guidelines have always been endorsed by urban planners and designers to reduce the impact of automobiles, COVID-19 served as a tipping point for cities to pursue longer-term sustainability initiatives and active investments in transportation infrastructure.
While certain individual and car lobby groups (London and Berlin) have limited access to active transport measures, further investments in digital and physical infrastructure will be made in 2021 to support long-term urban sustainable shifts away from the private automobile.
This article was written by Scott Shepard, CEO of Iomob Technologies, on The Urban Mobility Daily, the content site of Urban Mobility Company, a Paris-based company that drives the mobility business through physical and virtual events and services. Join their community of 10,000+ mobility professionals worldwide by signing up for the Urban Mobility Weekly newsletter. Read the original article Here and follow them on Linkedin and Twitter.
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Published on January 21, 2021 – 12:01 UTC